Repositorio Institucional SMN

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Early warning systems and end-user decision-making: A risk formalism tool to aid communication and understanding

  Autores
de Elía, Ramón
Ruiz, Juan José
Francce, Verónica
Lohigorry, Pedro
Saucedo, Marcos
Menalled, Matías
D'Amen, Daniela
(Wiley, 2023-09)

  Resumen
In this work, we introduce a formalism to highlight the role of decision-making implicit in the setup of early warning systems (EWSs) and its consequences with respect to loss avoidance for end users. The formalism, a close ...
The false alarm/surprise trade‑of in weather warnings systems: an expected utility theory perspective

  Autor
de Elía, Ramón
(Springer, 2022-05)

  Resumen
Early warning systems for weather events are becoming widespread as technological capacities develop. For warnings to be efective, they must allow enough lead time to deploy protective measures yet the earlier a warning ...